Sports 56 WHBlog Q

March 14, 2009

Revisiting Preseason Predictions

Filed under: Uncategorized — Will Askew @ 10:08 am

In November, I wrote a blog predicting the college basketball season.  I gave my contenders, pretenders, and lurkers…time to take a look at how I did.

Contenders (In November): UNC, UConn, Louisville, UCLA, Pitt

Well…4 out of 5 ain’t bad.  In my opinion, at least three of these teams will get #1 seeds (UNC, Pitt, Louisville), and we’ll see what happens with UConn.  I don’t think they’ve quite recovered from the loss of their best perimeter defender Jerome Dyson a few weeks ago.  UCLA is the one that I have missed on so far…they never have developed like I thought they would.  They always seem to make a run come tourney time though, so we’ll see what happens.

Pretenders (In November): Notre Dame, Texas, Michigan State, Duke

I’m still not convinced that Duke and Michigan State are going too far in the tournament, but Michigan State has the inside track at a 1 seed and Duke at a 2 (I think they’ll win the ACC Tournament with Lawson out).  Coach K has done a nice job of figuring out that in order to win, Gerald Henderson needs the ball a lot, and that Elliott Williams is his best perimeter defender.  Notre Dame was a poser, and so was Texas.  I thought they’d be better than they were though…the Irish kind of crapped the bed this season.

Lurkers (In November): Tennessee, Gonzaga, Memphis

I don’t know if I’d classify Memphis as a “Lurker” at this point in the season.  I still think that a Sweet Sixteen should be considered a pretty big success, especially with what they lost and what is coming in next year, regardless of John Wall.  It’s all about matchups at this point in the season.  Memphis’s offense is not going to blow your doors off, so if they can get a team that struggles to score but plays pretty good defense (think Big 10) in the Sweet Sixteen, they could definitely go further than I thought at the beginning of the year.  I still think Gonzaga is a good team that had a horrible night against the Tigers, and as long as they don’t play anyone who has great athletes on the floor, they could go far.  Tennessee…hell, I don’t know.  Just when I think they’re putting it together, they go out and lose at home to Alabama.  This I know about Tennessee–they can’t shoot.

Postseason Awards:

First Team All American:

Blake Griffin, F, OU–Easily the Player of the Year in college basketball.
DeJuan Blair, F, Pitt–A beast who manhandled Hasheem Thabeet in both meetings between the two.
Ty Lawson, G, UNC–No matter what anyone says, Ty Lawson deserved the ACC Player of the Year Award.  He is by far the most important player to UNC’s title aspirations.
James Harden, G, AZ State–Smooth as silk.  Do you think NC State wishes they had a mulligan on that whole Herb Sendek thing?
Steph Curry, G, Davidson–Davidson’s not going to make the NCAA tournament, but when you lead the nation in scoring and are top 25 in assists, you make the first team.

Second Team:

Tyler Hansbrough, F/C, North Carolina
Luke Harangody, F/C, Notre Dame
Jerel McNeal, G, Marquette
Hasheem Thabeet, C, UConn

Sherron Collins, G, Kansas

Player of the Year: Blake Griffin, Oklahoma

Coach of the Year: Bill Self, Kansas

Stupidest Rumor of the Year: This one.

If the season ended today, here are what I think should be the seeding rundown (1s and 2s)–
1 Seeds:  UNC, Pitt, Louisville, Michigan State
2 Seeds:  Memphis, UConn, Duke, Missouri

Of course, what I think and $1.25 will get you a cup of coffee at Exxon.  I tend to think the committee will put OU in as a #2 seed and leave Mizzou out, even though Mizzou will win the Big 12 Tourney today and only has 1 more loss.  If Memphis fans want a number 1 seed, then hope Michigan State and Louisville lose.  However, I will say this…I’m not sure I would really hope for a 1 seed.  If Memphis does get a 1, it’s probably going to be in Phoenix…wouldn’t you rather get a high 2 and be in either Indianapolis or Boston and be able to get to the games easier?

Finally this. Dan’s spot on.  The leadership in Conference USA has been awful ever since Louisville, Cincinnati, Marquette, etc. left for greener pastures.  If Memphis is going to be in this conference for a while, they need a stronger leader who is progressive and constantly working to better the perception of the league around the country.  The Mountain West is a “Mid Major” league that has a dramatically different perception around the country than Conference USA because of its strong leadership.  C-USA should want a different thing to come to mind other than “Oh, that’s the one Memphis is in” when people mention their league.

And if somehow Memphis gets in a BCS league, well, then who cares about C-USA?

UPDATE: Both UNC and Michigan State lost today.  The UNC loss isn’t going to affect anything very much, considering they were playing without Ty Lawson.  But the Michigan State loss is interesting.  This puts Memphis, UConn, and Duke back into play for a number 1, and I think assures Louisville of a number 1 seed–possibly the one here in Memphis.  It is remarkable how fortunate Memphis has been the last few days.  Everyone that they needed to lose (UConn, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Michigan State) all lost in the quarters or semis of their respective tournaments.

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6 Comments »

  1. Give it Askew your crap is getting old .Memphis had nothing to do with gonzago playing terrible.Really ? If they can get a team that struggles to score they might advance Please once again not giving the Tigers no credit for there D.Save that nonsense for the your radio show where it belongs,you whino and griz-boy fisher can enjoy your misery together.Keep up trashing the best thing going on in memphis you 3 clowns are doing a great service to the community,trying to inform the community that Cal is a scam artist

    Comment by mike — March 15, 2009 @ 8:06 am

  2. I am convinced that you can take anything I say negatively. Of course the Tigers’ d had something to do with Gonzaga’s off night. My point was that I don’t think they are as bad as they looked that night…everyone nationally said they were terrible after that. But take it how you want…everyone’s out to get you, Mike.

    Comment by Will Askew — March 15, 2009 @ 1:54 pm

  3. Nobody is out to get the Tigers they get great respect national level and local level other then you and your co-horts which is fine.You can run down the local college team all you want.You still have a few miserables out there to pearch to,but to most, your tiger bashing is old and stale.But maybe we can get a bad offensive team in the second round and advance seeing that are defensive is bad and the tigers can only beat bad teams.

    Comment by mike — March 15, 2009 @ 3:41 pm

  4. No its not remarkable that those teams lost,what is remarkable is your refusing to give the Tigers credit for anything.Memphis had nothing to do with those teams getting beat early.You will never give it up will you? The more you write the more you show your true colors.

    Comment by mike — March 15, 2009 @ 4:34 pm

  5. You are ridiculous. Congratulations to the Tigers on a great season, regardless of what happens from here on out.

    Comment by Will Askew — March 16, 2009 @ 7:55 am

  6. If we took a vote in memphis who was ridiculous you are me you would win heads up fool.Get over it the tigers are going nowheres.I told you keep your nonsense to your radio show if you bring it here i will call your miserable butt on it

    Comment by mike — March 16, 2009 @ 11:31 am


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